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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

Consequently, you can only value the equity in a bank, and by extension, the only pricing multiples you can use to price banks are equity multiples (PE, Price to Book etc.).

Banking 63
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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

The second was that, starting mid-year in 2020, equity markets and the real economy moved in different directions, with the former rising on the expectations a post-virus future, and the latter languishing, as most of the world continued to operate with significant constraints.

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Data Update 3: Inflation and its Ripple Effects!

Musings on Markets

I also looked at how inflation plays out on equity sub-groupings, on two dimensions, the first being market capitalization and the second being price to book, with the former becoming a stand-in for the vaunted small cap premium and the latter for the value versus growth question.

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will begin with a historical assessment of stock returns in the recent past, then move on to evaluate the returns that investors can expect to make, given how they are priced at the start of 2022, and end with a do-it-yourself valuation of the index right now. The year that was.

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Interest Rates, Earning Growth and Equity Value: Investment Implications

Musings on Markets

Coming in 2020, the ten-year T.Bond rate at 1.92% was already close to historic lows. The arrival of the COVID in February 2020, and the ensuing market meltdown, causing treasury rates to plummet across the spectrum, with three-month T.bill rates dropping from 1.5% In particular, the Fed's own assessments of real growth of 6.5%

Equity 52
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Is Hyundai’s Parallel Strategy a Potent Value Play?

Andrew Stolz

Hyundai has fallen from one of the most profitable carmakers to below-average profitability in 2020. Mainly from fierce price competition, higher labor costs and the recent chip shortage. A price-to-book ratio of less than 1x indicates that the market values the net assets less than the balance sheet suggests.

EBIT 52
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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

While the value crowd, bereft of victories for a long time, may be inclined to do a victory dance, it is worth noting that the same phenomenon occurred between February and March of 2020, at the start of the COVID crisis, but that growth companies quickly recouped their losses and finished ahead of mature companies by the end of 2020.

Start-ups 100