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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will begin by looking at how to value banks and follow up with an examination of investor views of banking have changed, by looking at pricing, before examining divergences in how banks are priced in the market today. All Equity, All the time!

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Interest Rates, Earning Growth and Equity Value: Investment Implications

Musings on Markets

The first quarter of 2021 has been, for the most part, a good time for equity markets, but there have been surprises. Coming in 2020, the ten-year T.Bond rate at 1.92% was already close to historic lows. In January, the NASDAQ continued its 2020 success, and the S&P 500 lagged, losing value. for 2021 and inflation of 2.2%

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

The second was that, starting mid-year in 2020, equity markets and the real economy moved in different directions, with the former rising on the expectations a post-virus future, and the latter languishing, as most of the world continued to operate with significant constraints.

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will begin with a historical assessment of stock returns in the recent past, then move on to evaluate the returns that investors can expect to make, given how they are priced at the start of 2022, and end with a do-it-yourself valuation of the index right now. The year that was.

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Data Update 3: Inflation and its Ripple Effects!

Musings on Markets

Corporate Bonds: No Shortage of Risk Capital In my last post, I chronicled the movement in the equity risk premium, i.e. the price of risk in the equity market, during 2021, but the bond market has its own, and more measurable, price of risk in the form of corporate default spreads.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

In this section, I will begin by looking at the bond market effects and then move on to equities and other asset classes, starting by looking at the localized reaction (for Ukranian and Russian securities) and then the global ripple effects. As Russian equities have imploded, the ripple effects again are being felt across the globe.

Start-ups 100
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Is Hyundai’s Parallel Strategy a Potent Value Play?

Andrew Stolz

Hyundai has fallen from one of the most profitable carmakers to below-average profitability in 2020. Mainly from fierce price competition, higher labor costs and the recent chip shortage. A price-to-book ratio of less than 1x indicates that the market values the net assets less than the balance sheet suggests.

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