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Reaping the Whirlwind: A September 2022 Inflation Update!

Musings on Markets

There is a market-based estimate of inflation that comes from the US treasury market, where a comparison of yields on a treasury bond with that on a inflation-protected treasury bond of equivalent maturity provides a measure of expected inflation.

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In Search of a Steady State: Inflation, Interest Rates and Value

Musings on Markets

There are three possible explanations for the divergence: Short term versus Long term : The consumer survey extracts an expectation of inflation in the near term, whereas the treasury markets are providing a longer term perspective, since I am using ten-year rates to derive the market-implied inflation.

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2024 Investment & Market Updates: How to Reverse a Painful Year with AI Hype and a Frenzied 2-Month Rally

Brian DeChesare

Treasuries. Within equities , I started the year with many value-oriented, international, and high-dividend stocks. Cash now earns 4 – 5%, but that’s barely above the dividend yield on many stock indices. But my real estate investment funds were down ~10% , which hurt. I sold most of my U.S.

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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

In general, higher and more volatile inflation has negative effects on all financial assets, from stocks to corporate bonds to treasury bonds, and neutral to positive effects on gold, collectibles and real assets.

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021).

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Can the World’s Largest Carmaker Handle the ESG Pressure?

Andrew Stolz

The item “Other” contains the treasury stock. The company pays out dividends on a consistent basis. Dividend payout ratio is almost constant around 30%. Solid dividend and share buyback offer attractive return even without upside. The company has a solid cash position, holding around 12.5% of its assets in cash.

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Interim Guidance on Stock Buyback Excise Tax Confirms Broad Application to M&A and Capital Market Transactions

Cooley M&A

1] On December 27, 2022, the Department of the Treasury (“Treasury”) and the IRS issued Notice 2023-2 (the “Notice”), providing interim guidance on the Excise Tax. There is a rebuttable presumption under the Notice, however, that such exception does not apply.