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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will begin by looking at how to value banks and follow up with an examination of investor views of banking have changed, by looking at pricing, before examining divergences in how banks are priced in the market today. All Equity, All the time!

Banking 63
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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

In my last post , I discussed how inflation's return has changed the calculus for investors, looking at how inflation affects returns on different asset classes, and tracing out the consequences for equity values, in the aggregate. The former is short hand for the small cap premium and the latter is the proxy for the value factor in returns.

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will begin with a historical assessment of stock returns in the recent past, then move on to evaluate the returns that investors can expect to make, given how they are priced at the start of 2022, and end with a do-it-yourself valuation of the index right now. The year that was.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

The second was that, starting mid-year in 2020, equity markets and the real economy moved in different directions, with the former rising on the expectations a post-virus future, and the latter languishing, as most of the world continued to operate with significant constraints.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

While this may seem perverse, the first step in understanding and assessing where we are in markets now is to go back and examine where things stood then. trillion in market value in the first six months in the year , but the severity of last year's decline has still left them $14.4 US Equities in 2023: Into the Weeds!

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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

Data universe : In my sample, I include all publicly traded firms with market capitalizations that exceed zero, traded anywhere in the world. I do report on a few market-wide data items especially on risk premiums for both equity and debt. Cost of Equity 1. Standard deviation in stock price 2.

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Control, Complexity and Politics: Deconstructing the Adani Affair!

Musings on Markets

Given the historical roots of the biggest Indian family groups, the Adani Group has been a recent entrant, not making the top ten list (in terms of either operating metrics like revenues or market-based numbers like market capitalization or enterprise value) as recently as ten years ago, and barely making the top ten list five or six years ago.

Start-ups 100