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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

Note, though, that 2021 is the third consecutive year of very good returns on the index, with 2019 delivering 31.21%, and 2020 generating 18.02%, and that the cumulative return over the three years (2019-21) is 98.95%. the 2019-21 time period would rank 8th on the list of 92 3-year time periods.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

Consider, for instance, an investor who picks stocks based upon price to book ratios, who finds a stock trading at a price to book ratio of 1.5. In the same dataset where I compute historical equity risk premiums, I report historical returns on corporate bonds in two ratings classes (Moody’s Aaa and Baa ratings).

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Inflation and Investing: False Alarm or Fair Warning?

Musings on Markets

Risk Premiums and Failure Risk : By itself, inflation has no direct effect on equity risk premiums, but it remains true that higher levels of inflation are associated with more uncertainty about future inflation. Consequently, as inflation increases, equity risk premiums will tend to increase.

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The Zomato IPO: A Bet on Big Markets and Platforms!

Musings on Markets

The second is the cost of capital, a number that most valuation classes and books (including mine) belabor to the point of diminishing returns. Finally, dismissing Zomato as an investment, just because it does not make money now, or fails to meet some conventional value tests on pricing (PE, Price to Book), is investing malpractice.