Musings on Markets

MAY 20, 2022

Historical Data: 1930-2019 To see how this framework works in practice, let's start by looking at the performance of US stocks, across the decades, and look at the returns on stocks, broadly categorized based on market capitalization and price to book ratios.

Price to Book 96

Price to Book Dividends Beta Equity 96

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

Note, though, that 2021 is the third consecutive year of very good returns on the index, with 2019 delivering 31.21%, and 2020 generating 18.02%, and that the cumulative return over the three years (2019-21) is 98.95%. the 2019-21 time period would rank 8th on the list of 92 3-year time periods.

Risk Premium 80

Risk Premium Risk-free Rate Start-ups Equity 80

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

Consider, for instance, an investor who picks stocks based upon price to book ratios, who finds a stock trading at a price to book ratio of 1.5.

Risk Premium 52

Risk Premium Market Capitalization Equity Start-ups 52

Musings on Markets

MAY 24, 2021

There is a risk of reading too much into the data in this table, but the three best decades for low price to book stocks were 1940-49, 1970-79 and 1980-89, the three decades when inflation was high, and in two of those decades, inflation was much higher than expected.

Treasury 55

Treasury Start-ups Risk Premium Price to Book 55

Musings on Markets

JULY 22, 2021

Third, I will confront the oft used contention that value is in the eye of the beholder, i.e., that Zomato is worth a lot because other investors believe it to be worth a lot, and examine a pricing rationale for Zomato.

Marketability 86

Marketability Start-ups Equity Price to Book 86