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Data Update 4 for 2024: Danger and Opportunity - Bringing Risk into the Equation!

Musings on Markets

In my last data updates for this year, I looked first at how equity markets rebounded in 2023 , driven by a stronger-than-expected economy and inflation coming down, and then at how interest rates mirrored this rebound.

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A Zomato 2022 Update: Value, Pricing and the Gap

Musings on Markets

The market clearly had a very different view, as the stock premiered at ? I argued then that notwithstanding the potential growth in the market, and Zomato's advantageous positioning, it was being over priced for its IPO, at ? On July 21, 2021, I valued Zomato just ahead of its initial public offering at about ? 41 per share.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

As the world's attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. The increase in default spreads was not restricted to foreign markets, as fear also pushed up spreads in the corporate bond market.

Start-ups 100
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Data Update 6 for 2023: A Wake up call for the Indebted?

Musings on Markets

Note that this framework applies for all businesses, from the smallest, privately owned businesses, where debt takes the form of bank loans and even credit card borrowing and equity is owner savings, the largest publicly traded companies, where debt can be in the form of corporate bonds and equity is shares held by public market investors.

Equity 52
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DEBRA, next big tax reform in Europe?

Simply Treasury

The idea is not new to encourage companies to increase their capitalization and reduce their bank debt (partly through more recourse to the capital market - CMU project). The rate would be calculated based on a 10-year "risk-free interest" rate depending on the currency, increased by a 1% risk premium (1.5%

Equity 52
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Data Update 5 for 2023: The Earnings Test

Musings on Markets

One is to compute the taxes you would have paid on operating income, if it had been fully taxable, to get after-tax operating income and margin , and the other is to add back depreciation to operating income to get EBITDA and EBITDA margin.

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Methods of Business Valuation by Their Profitability

Equilest

We note that the higher the expected rate (in other words, the greater the risk is perceived as necessary, to the point of requiring a substantial "risk premium"), the lower the multiple that will apply and therefore the lower valuation: we buy cheaper which is less safe. EBITDA and EBIT). 11% per year. 10% per year.