Remove Book Value Remove EBITDA Remove Marketability Remove Risk Premium
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Data Update 6 for 2023: A Wake up call for the Indebted?

Musings on Markets

Note that this framework applies for all businesses, from the smallest, privately owned businesses, where debt takes the form of bank loans and even credit card borrowing and equity is owner savings, the largest publicly traded companies, where debt can be in the form of corporate bonds and equity is shares held by public market investors.

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Data Update 5 for 2023: The Earnings Test

Musings on Markets

One is to compute the taxes you would have paid on operating income, if it had been fully taxable, to get after-tax operating income and margin , and the other is to add back depreciation to operating income to get EBITDA and EBITDA margin.

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

Thus, looking at only the companies in the S&P 500 may give you more reliable data, with fewer missing observations, but your results will reflect what large market cap companies in any sector or industry do, rather than what is typical for that industry.

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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

By the same token, it is impossible to use a pricing metric (PE or EV to EBITDA), without a sense of the cross sectional distribution of that metric at the time. Counter made-up numbers : It remains true that people (analysts, market experts, politicians) often make assertions based upon either incomplete or flawed data, or no data at all.

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Data Update 5 for 2024: Profitability - The End Game for Business?

Musings on Markets

In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.

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