Musings on Markets

MARCH 15, 2025

Thus, my estimates of equity risk premiums, updated every month, are not designed to make big statements about markets but more to get inputs I need to value companies. Many of these hiring firms have supply chains that stretch across the world and sell their products and services in foreign markets.

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 8, 2025

In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to risk premiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. The second set of inputs are prices of risk, in both the equity and debt markets, with the former measured by equity risk premiums , and the latter by default spreads.

Risk Premium

Musings on Markets

APRIL 7, 2025

Coming after a few days where the market seemed to have found its bearings (at least partially), it was clear from the initial reactions across the world that the breadth and the magnitude of the tariffs had caught most by surprise, and that a market markdown was coming.

Marketability

Brian DeChesare

JANUARY 4, 2023

Any discussion of the financial markets in 2022 needs to acknowledge one important fact upfront: it was the worst year for stocks and bonds since at least 1871. Meanwhile, disasters kept emerging in the riskiest parts of the market, such as crypto (see: FTX , Celsius, etc.), Treasuries: 19% [Up 19%]. Short-Term U.S.

Marketability

Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

I am not a market prognosticator for a simple reason. I am just not good at it, and the first six months of 2023 illustrate why market timing is often the impossible dream, something that every investor aspires to be successful at, but very few succeed on a consistent basis.

Marketability

Global Finance

SEPTEMBER 9, 2024

Corporate treasury professionals are reassessing investment strategies to stay agile and conserve cash amid interest rate shifts and geopolitical uncertainty. A sense of nervousness amid ongoing global disruption pervades strategic thinking across global treasury functions. How they access the market has also changed.

Treasury

Musings on Markets

SEPTEMBER 27, 2022

By the start of 2022, the window for early action had closed and for much of this year, inflation has been the elephant in the room, driving markets and forcing central banks to be reactive, and its presence has already induced me to write three posts on its impact.

Risk Premium

Musings on Markets

MAY 6, 2022

The nature of markets is that they are never quite settled, as investors recalibrate expectations constantly and reset prices. Clearly, we are not in one of those time periods, as markets approach bipolar territory, with big moves up and down.

Risk Premium

Musings on Markets

AUGUST 5, 2023

If you have been reading my posts, you know that I have an obsession with equity risk premiums, which I believe lie at the center of almost every substantive debate in markets and investing. The risk premium that you demand has different names in different markets.

Risk Premium

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 17, 2024

That positive result notwithstanding, the recovery was uneven, with a big chunk of the increase in market capitalization coming from seven companies (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, NVidia and Tesla) and wide divergences in performance across stocks, in performance. increase in market capitalization.

Risk Premium

Musings on Markets

MAY 20, 2022

In general, higher and more volatile inflation has negative effects on all financial assets, from stocks to corporate bonds to treasury bonds, and neutral to positive effects on gold, collectibles and real assets. The former is short hand for the small cap premium and the latter is the proxy for the value factor in returns.

Price to Book

Reynolds Holding

JANUARY 4, 2023

On December 27, 2022, Treasury released Notices 2023-7 and 2023-2 (the “Notices”). The Notices are intended to provide interim guidance until proposed Treasury Regulations are promulgated. Future Mark-to-Market Guidance. Mark-to-Market Financial Statement Items. Until such time, Taxpayers can rely on the Notices.

Treasury

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 21, 2023

It is the nature of stocks that you have good years and bad ones, and much as we like to forget about the latter during market booms, they recur at regular intervals, if for no other reason than to remind us that risk is not an abstraction, and that stocks don't always win, even in the long term. at the start of that year.

Equity

Brian DeChesare

JANUARY 3, 2024

The markets in 2023 were almost a complete reversal of 2022, and hardly anyone – me included – saw it coming. This result is disappointing because it ends my 4-year streak of matching or beating the market, and it’s all because of my bad decisions. But my real estate investment funds were down ~10% , which hurt.

Marketability

Cooley M&A

JANUARY 19, 2023

1] On December 27, 2022, the Department of the Treasury (“Treasury”) and the IRS issued Notice 2023-2 (the “Notice”), providing interim guidance on the Excise Tax. This post highlights key guidance from the Notice as it relates to common M&A and capital market transactions.

Fair Market Value

Reynolds Holding

SEPTEMBER 29, 2024

The Treasury Department and the IRS have released long-awaited proposed regulations (the “Proposed Regulations”) on the 15% corporate minimum tax on the book income of certain large corporations (the “CAMT”), more than two years after the CAMT was created as part of the Inflation Reduction Act. [1]

Treasury

Andrew Stolz

NOVEMBER 21, 2021

The item “Other” contains the treasury stock. The company pays out dividends on a consistent basis. Dividend payout ratio is almost constant around 30%. Failure to keep up with technological changes could result in loss of market share. Solid dividend and share buyback offer attractive return even without upside.

Dividends

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 20, 2021

Investors are constantly in search of a single metric that will tell them whether a market is under or over valued, and consequently whether they should buying or selling holdings in that market. Risk premiums can and will change over time : Risk premiums are driven by risk aversion, and risk aversion itself can change over time.

Risk Premium

Reynolds Holding

JUNE 20, 2024

market structure, where Treasuries, options, and mutual funds already largely settle in one day. market structure, where Treasuries, options, and mutual funds already largely settle in one day. Thus, shortening the market plumbing of clearance and settlement saves money. Last month, the U.S. Time is risk.

Treasury

Benzinga

AUGUST 13, 2024

Overall, pricing in the syndication market has improved from Q1 and client demand remains robust. million of cash to common shareholders through dividends and buybacks of common shares in Q2 2024 and first half 2024, respectively. These increases are attributed to record originations and our ongoing focus on our capital lighter model.

Dividends

Reynolds Holding

APRIL 19, 2022

The proposed amendments would provide flexibility by permitting the board of directors to delegate to a person or body the authority to issue stock under Section 152, sell treasury shares under Section 153 and issue rights or options to acquire stock under Section 157.

Appraisal

Global Finance

MAY 8, 2024

The Citigroup acquisition bore immediate fruit in the e-payments line, with 25% growth in customers in ASEAN, 26% growth in transaction value to S$129 billion and the capture of 40% market share in Malaysia via the DuitNow e-payment corridor and 60% in Thailand via PromptPay. CCB invested 4.9 billion after-tax profit versus $8.3

Banking

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

I spent the first week of 2021 in the same way that I have spent the first week of every year since 1995, collecting data on publicly traded companies and analyzing how they navigated the cross currents of the prior year, both in operating and market value terms.

Risk Premium

Global Finance

JULY 24, 2024

This involves maintaining close contact to promptly resolve trade and operational inquiries and deliver ongoing insight into evolving market dynamics. The bank aligns its systems and protocols with global market practices and Swift standards for automated custody services.

Banking

Global Finance

JULY 24, 2024

This involves maintaining close contact to promptly resolve trade and operational inquiries and deliver ongoing insight into evolving market dynamics. The bank aligns its systems and protocols with global market practices and Swift standards for automated custody services.

Banking

Benzinga

MAY 3, 2024

The increase in the average cost of CDs and savings accounts occurred as interest rates were raised in response to the increase in market interest rates. Interest expense on savings accounts rose by $969,000 due to a 56 basis point increase in the average cost of savings accounts which was partially offset by a $143.40

Banking

Benzinga

APRIL 18, 2022

markets is again demonstrated by the announcement of our intent to acquire Rock Canyon Bank," said Tim Laney, Chairman, President and CEO of National Bank Holdings Corporation. They will also benefit from enhanced service offerings including expanded commercial loan and treasury management solutions.". "We at March 31, 2022.

Banking

Reynolds Holding

APRIL 11, 2022

In light of the recent increased volatility in the global financial markets, 1 a number of companies have raised questions regarding the desirability of repurchasing shares at reduced market prices. Most share repurchases are effected over time through open market purchases.

Banking

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

Risk Premium

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 8, 2022

To start the year, I returned to a ritual that I have practiced for thirty years, and that is to take a look at not just market changes over the last year, but also to get measures of the financial standing and practices of companies around the world. Happy New Year, and I hope that 2022 brings you good tidings!

Risk Premium

Musings on Markets

MAY 11, 2021

The Taxation of Investment Income In much of the world, income from investments (interest, dividends) is treated differently than earned income (salary, wages), by the tax code, and the reasons for the divergence are both practical and political: 1.

Dividends

Reynolds Holding

JUNE 8, 2025

It also clarifies that compliant payment stablecoins are not securities and prohibits them from offering any interest or dividend payment. regulatory framework for stablecoins, seeking to resolve long-standing issues concerning oversight and market integrity. USD) held in reserves, 1:1 peg.

Treasury

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 17, 2025

In my last post , I noted that the US has extended its dominance of global equities in recent years, increasing its share of market capitalization from 42% in at the start of 2023 to 44% at the start of 2024 to 49% at the start of 2025.

Equity

Musings on Markets

MAY 3, 2025

I started the month on a trip to Latin America, just as the tariff story hit my newsfeed and the market reacted with a sell off that knocked more than $9 trillion in market cap for global equities in the next two days. of the overall market capitalization of all US companies at the start of 2025, lost $2.34

Marketability

Benzinga

OCTOBER 31, 2024

Further to the announcement on 7 October 2024, i3 Energy confirms that, the Scheme having become Effective, the Acquisition Dividend totalling £3,084,278 will be paid as follows: Dividend : 0.2565 pence / i3 Energy Share Record Date : 6.00 on 1 November 2024. on 1 November 2024. on 1 November 2024.

Dividends

Reynolds Holding

APRIL 9, 2025

Treasury bills, or registered money-market funds). It also enables arbitrage that keeps any market price fluctuations tightly anchored to $1. No Expectation of Profit (Not an Investment) : The stablecoin confers no rights to profit or income and is not marketed as an investment. cash, bank deposits, U.S.

Banking

Reynolds Holding

FEBRUARY 24, 2025

It is not clear how market capitalization would be calculated in this contexte.g., This is relevant because leading crypto market structure bills would propose to classify many digital assets as digital commodities that are subject to CFTC, rather than SEC, jurisdiction. International reciprocity. Eligible assets include (1) U.S.

Banking