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Data Update 1 for 2025: The Draw (and Danger) of Data

Musings on Markets

Thus, as you peruse my historical data on implied equity risk premiums or PE ratios for the S&P 500 over time, you may be tempted to compute averages and use them in your investment strategies, or use my industry averages for debt ratios and pricing multiples as the target for every company in the peer group, but you should hold back.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

Exacerbating the pain, corporate default spreads rose during the course of 2022: While default spreads rose across ratings classes, the rise was much more pronounced for the lowest ratings classes, part of a bigger story about risk capital that spilled across markets and asset classes.

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Return on Equity, Earnings Yield and Market Efficiency: Back to Basics!

Musings on Markets

With these characteristics, the accounting balance sheets for these companies will be identical right after they start up, and the book value of equity will be $60 million in each company. The first is that if markets are efficient, the price to book ratios will reflect the quality of these companies.

Equity 52
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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

Relative Risk Measures Before we embark on how to measure relative risk, where there can be substantial disagreement, let me start with a statement on which there should be agreement. By the same token, Embraer and TCS are global firms that happen to be incorporated in Brazil and India, respectively.

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Book Value Multiples 3. Working capital needs Thus, I compute pricing multiples based on revenues (EV to Sales, Price to Sales), earnings (PE, PEG), book value (PBV, EV to Invested Capital) or cash flow proxies (EV to EBITDA). Return on Equity 1. Debt Details 1.

Dividends 107
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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

In fact, the standard practice that most analysts and investors follow to estimate the risk free rate is to use the government bond rate, with the only variants being whether they use a short term or a long term rate. and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop.

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9 Startup Valuation Methods: 5 to Use, 4 to Avoid

Equidam

Methods relying heavily on historical data or the current balance sheet, such as Book Value or Cost to Duplicate approaches, often fail to capture this forward-looking, intangible-driven value. Book Value : This method calculates value based on tangible assets minus liabilities as recorded on the balance sheet (Assets – Liabilities).