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Data Update 1 for 2025: The Draw (and Danger) of Data

Musings on Markets

It is the end of the first full week in 2025, and my data update for the year is now up and running, and I plan to use this post to describe my data sample, my processes for computing industry statistics and the links to finding them. In the table below, we compare the changes in regional market capitalizations (in $ millions) over time.

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Anatomy of a Market Crisis: Tariffs, Markets and the Economy!

Musings on Markets

Coming after a few days where the market seemed to have found its bearings (at least partially), it was clear from the initial reactions across the world that the breadth and the magnitude of the tariffs had caught most by surprise, and that a market markdown was coming.

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Data Update 6 for 2025: From Macro to Micro - The Hurdle Rate Question!

Musings on Markets

In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to risk premiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. The second set of inputs are prices of risk, in both the equity and debt markets, with the former measured by equity risk premiums , and the latter by default spreads.

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The Power of Expectations: Nvidia's Earnings and the Market Reaction!

Musings on Markets

Last Wednesday (August 28), the market waited with bated breath for Nvidia’s earning call, scheduled for after the market closed. In fact, the Nvidia earnings report on August 28 covered the second quarter of this fiscal year (which is Nvidia's 2025 fiscal year).

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

I am not a market prognosticator for a simple reason. I am just not good at it, and the first six months of 2023 illustrate why market timing is often the impossible dream, something that every investor aspires to be successful at, but very few succeed on a consistent basis.

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World’s Best Banks in Western Europe 2025

Global Finance

Healthy profitability was particularly notable among larger banks with an extensive branch network and strong franchises, and among banks in Southern and Southeastern Europe with large shares of the local market. Interest rates fell in some cases, and interest rates will continue to fall into 2025. market share (based on total assets).

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Data Update 2 for 2024: A Stock Comeback - Winning the Expectations Game!

Musings on Markets

That positive result notwithstanding, the recovery was uneven, with a big chunk of the increase in market capitalization coming from seven companies (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, NVidia and Tesla) and wide divergences in performance across stocks, in performance. increase in market capitalization.