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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

When you augment this price change with the dividends on the index during 2021, the total return on the S&P 500 for 2021 was 28.47%. the 2019-21 time period would rank 8th on the list of 92 3-year time periods. If you compute cumulative returns, on a rolling three-year time period (1928-30, 1929-31, 1930-32 etc.),

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In Search of a Steady State: Inflation, Interest Rates and Value

Musings on Markets

Equity Risk Premium Path : The equity risk premium of 5.24%, estimated at the start of May 2022, is at the high end of historical equity risk premiums , but we have seen higher premiums, either in crises (end of 2008, first quarter of 2020) or when inflation has been high (the late 1970s).

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Review the concept of WACC

Andrew Stolz

This is a Valuation Master Class student essay by Teeradon Piyakiattisuk from March 19, 2019. The formula implies the return an investor expects from a risk-free investment plus the return from the stock in relation to market volatility. The market risk premium is calculated from a market rate of return less a risk-free rate.

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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

The first is the dividends you receive, while you hold stocks, a cash flow stream that provides a measure of stability to investors who seek it. trillion on their market capitalization at the end of 2019. Actual Returns Your returns on equities come in one of two forms. During the course of 2022, US equities collectively lost $11.6

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

For instance, I have always computed the present value of lease commitments in future years and treated that value as debt, a practice that IFRS and GAAP have adopted in 2019, but that computation requires explicit disclosures of lease commitments in future years.

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Tesla's Trillion Dollar Moment: A Valuation Revisit!

Musings on Markets

My two most recent valuations were in June 2019 and January 2020, and I am going to go back to them, not just because they are recent, but because they led to investment decisions on my part. In June 2019, Tesla had hit a rough spot, partly due to concerns about production bottlenecks and debt, and partly due to self inflicted wounds.

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

I have also developed a practice in the last decade of spending much of January exploring what the data tells us, and does not tell us, about the investing, financing and dividend choices that companies made during the most recent year. Beta & Risk 1. Dividends and Potential Dividends (FCFE) 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2.