Musings on Markets

JANUARY 17, 2024

Heading into 2023, US equities looked like they were heading into a sea of troubles, with inflation out of control and a recession on the horizon. While stocks had their ups and downs during the year, they ended the year strong, and recouped, at least in the aggregate, most of the losses from 2022. increase in market capitalization.

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Global Finance

JUNE 18, 2024

Several of the domestic companies looking to IPO this year are global private-equity backed where early investors are looking to cash out. In the second half of 2023 the Indian equity market crossed the $4 trillion mark and is currently valued at $4.9

Marketability

Musings on Markets

MAY 20, 2022

In my last post , I discussed how inflation's return has changed the calculus for investors, looking at how inflation affects returns on different asset classes, and tracing out the consequences for equity values, in the aggregate.

Price to Book

Value Scope

NOVEMBER 3, 2023

The Value of X X, formerly Twitter, is now valued at $19 billion, according to the company’s employee equity compensation plan. The company’s revenue growth has slowed in recent quarters, and it has struggled to keep up with its competitors. Several factors may have contributed to the valuation drop.

Business Valuation

Musings on Markets

OCTOBER 12, 2023

The effect of impact investing in the inclusionary and exclusionary paths is through the stock price , with the buying (selling) in inclusionary (exclusionary) investing pushing stock prices up (down), which, in turn, decreases (increases) the costs of equity and capital at these firms. in the 1998-2010 time period to 5.95

Market Capitalization

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 5, 2024

Since I am lucky enough to have access to databases that carry data on all publicly traded stocks, I choose all publicly traded companies, with a market price that exceeds zero, as my universe, for computing all statistics. Consequently, I do report industry averages for the two fastest growing emerging markets in India and China.

Dividends

Musings on Markets

SEPTEMBER 5, 2024

That drop of more than $200 billion in market capitalization in response to what looked like good news, at least on the surface, puzzled market observers, though, as is their wont, they had found a reason by day end.

Marketability

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 12, 2022

In the midst of all the action, to no one's surprise, have been six stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Google, Apple and Microsoft or FANGAM) that have largely driven US equities for the last decade, roiling the market with their most recent earnings reports.

Market Capitalization

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 27, 2022

In this post, I will look at corporate profitability, in all its different dimensions, and how companies across the globe, and across industries, measured up in the most recent years. As companies from around the globe look to Asia for growth, the ensuing competition is pushing margins down there, relative to the rest of the world.

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

NOVEMBER 1, 2023

I was planning to start this post by telling you that Tesla was back in the news, but that would be misleading, since Tesla never leaves the news. First, I learned that the company was capable of generating growth much more efficiently, and more flexibly, than other auto companies, reducing the capital investment needed for growth.

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

MAY 5, 2023

The overarching questions for us all are whether this crisis will spread to the rest of the economy and market, as it did in 2008, and how banking as a business, at least in the US, will be reshaped by this crisis, and while I am more a dabbler than an expert in banking, I am going to try answering those questions.

Banking

Musings on Markets

NOVEMBER 4, 2022

Investors, used to a decade of better-than-expected earnings and rising stock prices at these companies, have been blindsided by unexpected bad news in earnings reports, and have knocked down the market capitalization of these companies by hundreds of billions of dollars in the last few weeks.

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

OCTOBER 6, 2023

After a buzzy open, when the stock jumped from its offering price of $30 a share to $42, the stock has quickly given up those gains and now trades at below to its offer price.

Intangible Assets

Reynolds Holding

OCTOBER 21, 2024

What GameStop put on display was how much has changed—in technology and business models—since 2005 when we last comprehensively updated our equity market rules. The markets have moved to overwhelmingly trade electronically, with transaction volume in listed equities tripling in the last 17 years. [3]

Equity

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 27, 2022

By the end of 2021, it was clear that this bout of inflation was not as transient a phenomenon as some had made it out to be, and the big question leading in 2022, for investors and markets, is how inflation will play out during the year, and beyond, and the consequences for stocks, bonds and currencies.

Risk-free Rate

Musings on Markets

NOVEMBER 9, 2021

The automobile business has been in trouble for quite a while, struggling with anemic revenue growth in the aggregate, and abysmal profit margins, with even the very best in the group struggling to earn returns that match, let alone beat, their costs of capital. In sum, the company's market cap has risen from $2.8

Start-ups

Valutico

JANUARY 17, 2023

The company has a leading position in the Southeast Asian market with their e-commerce platform Shoppee and their gaming offers by Garena. Sea currently has a market capitalization of $29.8 billion and $327 million respectively, up 39% and 141% year-on-year. As market sentiment changed globally during 2022, Sea Ltd.

Discounted Cash Flow

Musings on Markets

OCTOBER 4, 2021

Since so much of Paytm’s success has been driven by the rise if smart phone usage among Indian consumers, and the concurrent rise in mobile payments for goods and services, I will start with a review of that rise, before looking at how Paytm has put itself in position to take advantage of that market shift.

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

SEPTEMBER 1, 2021

In the last year or so, Chinese tech companies, including shining stars like Alibaba, Tencent and Didi have also woken up to this recognition, and investors have had to readjust their expectations for these companies. The Chinese Tech Decade The rise of technology as an economic force and market driver is not unique to China.

Market Capitalization

Musings on Markets

NOVEMBER 15, 2022

In my first two posts on Facebook, I noted that its most recent earnings report, and the market reaction to it, offers an opportunity for us to talk about bigger issues. Why stories matter in a numbers world If you are a numbers valuation, you start with some advantages.

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 6, 2023

In my last post, I talked about the ritual that I go through every year ahead of my teaching each spring, and in this one, I will start on the first of a series of posts that I make at the start of each year, where I look at data, both macro and company-level. That is not true!

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Musings on Markets

DECEMBER 10, 2021

One of the big news stories of last week was Jack Dorsey stepping down as CEO of Twitter, and the market's response to that news was to push up Twitter's stock price by almost 10%. In this section, I will begin by looking at the mythology behind this push, and why it does not hold up to common sense questioning.

Start-ups

Valutico

DECEMBER 4, 2023

Many Netflix originals prove to be performing well which is part of the reason why they expect their Q4 revenue to be $8.7B, up 11% year-over-year. Stock Market Implications In the recent past, most notably in 2020 and 2021, Netflix experienced considerable growth in the stock market. Youtube), Apple Inc. Amazon Prime Video).

Discounted Cash Flow

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

The second was that, starting mid-year in 2020, equity markets and the real economy moved in different directions, with the former rising on the expectations a post-virus future, and the latter languishing, as most of the world continued to operate with significant constraints.

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Equilest

FEBRUARY 24, 2024

Get started now for free and unlock the power of Equitest to make informed decisions about your business's financial future. Register here to start using Equitest today. Get started now for free and unlock the power of Equitest by registering here.

Business Valuation

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 2, 2023

The first of the is as companies scale up, there will be a point where they will hit a growth wall, and their growth will converge on the growth rate for the economy. In short, I am assuming that the price cuts and cost pressures of the fourth quarter are more representative of what Tesla will face in the future, as competition steps up.

Start-ups

Global Finance

MAY 6, 2025

There was a strong uptick in geopolitical uncertainty and market volatility, helping to bolster trading revenues, which were up across the board in Western Europe. Wealth management and investment banking were growth areas, according to Nigel Moden, banking and capital markets lead at EY. billion, up 20.2%

Banking

Musings on Markets

APRIL 21, 2022

In the years since, those user numbers have grown, as can be seen in the chart below: In keeping with disclosure practices at other user-based companies, in 2017, Twitter also started tracking and reporting the users who were most active on its platform, by looking at daily usage, and counting daily active users (DAU).

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

DECEMBER 2, 2020

On Monday, November 16, Airbnb filed it’s preliminary prospectus with the SEC, starting the clock on its long awaited initial public offering. In this section, I will start with a brief history of the company, move on to reviewing its financials leading into 2020, and then look at how it has performed in 2020.

Start-ups

Reynolds Holding

APRIL 4, 2022

Seeing these ads reminded me that, in the lead-up to the financial crisis, subprime lender AmeriQuest advertised in the Super Bowl. The dot-com bubble burst, though, created significant tremors in our markets. As in other start-up fields, many projects likely could fail. It’s at the core of what makes markets work.

Marketability

Global Finance

MAY 8, 2024

rise in return on equity (ROE) to 14.2%; and gains in tier 1 equity capital and assets of 5% and 4%, respectively. The NIM at Japan’s three largest banks hit 56 bps, the highest since the BOJ started its negative interest rate regime in 2012. billion; a 2.3% MUFG demonstrated a solid commitment to shareholders last year.

Banking

Chris Mercer

AUGUST 1, 2022

This 2008 version had information on 477 restricted stock transactions, up from 430 transactions in the 2004 version. There were 231 transactions after April 1997, when the SEC’s period of restriction was reduced from two years to one year (up from 182 transactions in the 2004 version). Conclusion.

Dividends

Musings on Markets

MARCH 19, 2022

The Lead In To understand the market effects of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, we need to start with an assessment of the two countries, and their places in the global political, economic and market landscape, leading in.

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

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Musings on Markets

SEPTEMBER 9, 2024

Second, they have all been in the news in the last few weeks, with Starbucks getting a new CEO, Walgreens announcing that they will be shutting down hundreds of their stores and Intel coming up in the Nvidia conversation, often as a contrast.

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

JUNE 23, 2023

I will start this post with a couple of confessions. The first is that my portfolio has held up well this year, in a market that has been top-heavy and tech-driven, and one big reason is that it contains both NVIDIA and Microsoft, two companies that have benefited from the AI story. Sustained Profitability, with Cycles!

Start-ups

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 8, 2022

To start the year, I returned to a ritual that I have practiced for thirty years, and that is to take a look at not just market changes over the last year, but also to get measures of the financial standing and practices of companies around the world. Happy New Year, and I hope that 2022 brings you good tidings!

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