Remove Dividends Remove Finance Remove Risk Premium Remove Risk-free Rate
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What Is Equity Risk Premium?

Andrew Stolz

Definition of Equity Risk Premium. It is the difference between expected returns from the stock market and the expected returns from risk-free investments. What Impacts the Equity Risk Premium? Dividends . How Do You Calculate Equity Risk Premium? Dividend model ?

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021).

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Data Update 4 for 2024: Danger and Opportunity - Bringing Risk into the Equation!

Musings on Markets

In this post, I look at risk, a central theme in finance and investing, but one that is surprisingly misunderstood and misconstrued. That said, and notwithstanding decades of research and debate on the topic, there are still wide differences in how risk is defined and measured. What is risk?

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The Price of Risk: With Equity Risk Premiums, Caveat Emptor!

Musings on Markets

If you have been reading my posts, you know that I have an obsession with equity risk premiums, which I believe lie at the center of almost every substantive debate in markets and investing. That said, I don't blame you, if are confused not only about how I estimate this premium, but what it measures.

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Data Update 1 for 2022: It is Moneyball Time!

Musings on Markets

That said, it is my experience with markets that has also made me skeptical about the over selling of both notions, since we have an entire branch of finance (behavioral finance/economics) that has developed to explain how more data does not always lead to better decisions and why crowds can often be collectively wrong.

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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

The first is the dividends you receive, while you hold stocks, a cash flow stream that provides a measure of stability to investors who seek it. It too requires estimate for inputs, but the range of error is magnitudes smaller than with historical premiums. Actual Returns Your returns on equities come in one of two forms.

Equity 70
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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

I have also developed a practice in the last decade of spending much of January exploring what the data tells us, and does not tell us, about the investing, financing and dividend choices that companies made during the most recent year. Beta & Risk 1. Dividends and Potential Dividends (FCFE) 1. Tax rates 4.