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Data Update 1 for 2025: The Draw (and Danger) of Data

Musings on Markets

Not surprisingly, the company listings are across the world, and I look at the breakdown of companies, by number and market cap, by geography: As you can see, the market cap of US companies at the start of 2025 accounted for roughly 49% of the market cap of global stocks, up from 44% at the start of 2024 and 42% at the start of 2023.

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

Standard Deviation in Equity/Firm Value 2. Book Value Multiples 3. Working capital needs Thus, I compute pricing multiples based on revenues (EV to Sales, Price to Sales), earnings (PE, PEG), book value (PBV, EV to Invested Capital) or cash flow proxies (EV to EBITDA). Revenue Multiples 4.

Dividends 106
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Invisible, yet Invaluable: Valuing Intangibles in the Birkenstock IPO!

Musings on Markets

While I have seen claims that intangibles now account for sixty, seventy or even ninety percent of value, I take these contentions with a grain of salt, since the definition of "intangible" is elastic, and some stretch it to breaking point, and the measures of value used are questionable.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

To the extent that some of that risk capital is coming back into the markets, equity markets have benefited, with benefits skewing more towards the companies and markets that were punished the most in 2022. trillion below their values from the start of 2022. trillion below their values from the start of 2022.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

Challenge rules of thumb and conventional wisdom : Investing has always had rules of thumb on how and when to invest, ranging from using historical PE or CAPE ratios to decide if markets are over valued, to simplistic rules (eg. buy stocks that trade at less than book value or trade at PEG ratios less than one) for individual stocks.

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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

Those high cash flows, even though they are delivered by a bank that earns and expects to continue to earn an ROE less than its cost of equity translate into a value of equity for Citi of about $69, making it about 32% under valued auto the stock price of $46.32, at close of trading on May 5, 2023.

Banking 86
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Data Update 6 for 2023: A Wake up call for the Indebted?

Musings on Markets

In fact, at a zero percent tax rate, the optimal debt ratio, if you define it as the mix that minimizes cost of capital is zero. Book versus Market : The book debt ratio is built around using the accounting measure of equity, usually shareholder's equity, as the value of equity.

EBITDA 52