Musings on Markets

MAY 7, 2023

In this post, I will begin by looking at how to value banks and follow up with an examination of investor views of banking have changed, by looking at pricing, before examining divergences in how banks are priced in the market today. All Equity, All the time!

Banking 63

Banking Price to Book Dividends Book Value 63

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

In this post, I will begin with a historical assessment of stock returns in the recent past, then move on to evaluate the returns that investors can expect to make, given how they are priced at the start of 2022, and end with a do-it-yourself valuation of the index right now. The year that was.

Risk Premium 80

Risk Premium Risk-free Rate Start-ups Equity 80

Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

I am just not good at it, and the first six months of 2023 illustrate why market timing is often the impossible dream, something that every investor aspires to be successful at, but very few succeed on a consistent basis. Markets, as is their wont, live to surprise, and the first six months of 2023 has wrong-footed the experts (again).

Marketability 95

Marketability Risk Premium Start-ups Treasury 95

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 6, 2023

In January 2023, I ended up with 47,913 publicly traded firms in my sample , with the pie chart below providing a geographic breakdown. I do report on a few market-wide data items especially on risk premiums for both equity and debt. Cost of Equity 1. Standard deviation in stock price 2. Price to Book 3.

Risk Premium 52

Risk Premium Dividends EBITDA Start-ups 52

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 4, 2023

Adani's Debt Load The investment side of the Adani story is not complete without bringing in the financing part, since the money for these investments has to come from somewhere, either internally, residual cash flows from existing operations, or externally, from new debt or equity.

Start-ups 100

Start-ups Market Capitalization Marketability Equity 100