Musings on Markets

MAY 20, 2022

I then examine how equities have performed in the less than five months of 2022, where inflation has returned to the front pages. In 2022, the collective market capitalization of all US firms has dropped by 19.75% , with the bulk of the drop occurring after April 1, 2022.

Price to Book 96

Price to Book Dividends Beta Equity 96

Musings on Markets

MAY 7, 2023

While differentiating between good and bad banks can be straightforward, it does not follow that buying good banks and selling bad banks is a good investment strategy, since its success depends entirely on what the market is incorporating into stock prices.

Banking 63

Banking Price to Book Dividends Book Value 63

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 19, 2022

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

Risk Premium 80

Risk Premium Risk-free Rate Start-ups Equity 80

Musings on Markets

MARCH 19, 2022

As the world's attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. The increase in default spreads was not restricted to foreign markets, as fear also pushed up spreads in the corporate bond market.

Start-ups 100

Start-ups Risk Premium Equity Market Capitalization 100

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 27, 2022

By the end of 2021, it was clear that this bout of inflation was not as transient a phenomenon as some had made it out to be, and the big question leading in 2022, for investors and markets, is how inflation will play out during the year, and beyond, and the consequences for stocks, bonds and currencies.

Risk-free Rate 84

Risk-free Rate Treasury Price to Book Start-ups 84

Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

I am not a market prognosticator for a simple reason. I am just not good at it, and the first six months of 2023 illustrate why market timing is often the impossible dream, something that every investor aspires to be successful at, but very few succeed on a consistent basis.

Marketability 95

Marketability Risk Premium Start-ups Treasury 95

Andrew Stolz

JANUARY 12, 2022

They have 90% market share of in FCEV. Hyundai has allocated 2022 CAPEX of US$1.1bn, roughly 15% of its total CAPEX budget, to develop two further fuel cell plants. This gives it a market share of 5%, compared to Tesla’s 14.6%. Analysts are more positive about Hyundai than the market. A top 5 largest EV producer.

EBIT 52

EBIT Price to Book Book Value Liquidation Value 52