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The Dividend Discount Model (DDM): The Black Sheep of Valuation?

Brian DeChesare

The DDM is more grounded because it’s based on the company’s actual distributions and potential future value. And it values the company today based on the present value of its dividends and that potential future value (either the stock price or the Equity Value via the Terminal Value calculation).

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Mercer’s Musings #4: Factors to Consider in Valuing Partial Ownership Interests

Chris Mercer

The determination of the present value of expected future cash flows is inherently a quantitative exercise. The final cash flow for minority interests is the expectation of a terminal value at the end of the expected holding period. Appraisers sometimes think that it is not possible to estimate holding period premiums.

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How to Value an SME—An Introductory Guide

Valutico

SMEs can present challenges with DCF due to limited historical financial data, unreliable information, inadequate financial forecasts, and difficulty in determining terminal value. Approximations, negotiations, and considering illiquidity premiums help mitigate these challenges.

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How to value SMEs: A Simplified Roadmap

Valutico

However, market information required for CAPM, such as beta coefficients and risk premiums, may not be available for SMEs. To solve this, approximations are used, and an illiquidity premium is added to the rate to account for the lack of market for SME shares.

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Discounted-Cash-Flow-Analysis: Your Complete Guide with Examples

Valutico

Well, the short answer is after that forecast period where we estimate each year’s cash flows then discount them, we add a single number at the end to account for all the theoretical years in the future, called the Terminal Value (TV). Explaining The Terminal Value. How do I calculate the Terminal Value?”

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Disagreements and First Principles: The Pushback on my Tesla Valuation

Musings on Markets

Finally, my starting cost of capital of 10.15% reflects the reality that the riskfree rate and equity risk premiums have risen over 2022, and my ending number of 9% is an indication that I expect Tesla to become less risky over time.