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Furthermore, any quantitative valuation method, particularly the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) approach, is highly sensitive to the underlying assumptions about growth rates, discount rates, and terminalvalues. We calculate the cost of equity using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). we use a range of 0.1%
The DDM is more grounded because it’s based on the company’s actual distributions and potential future value. And it values the company today based on the present value of its dividends and that potential future value (either the stock price or the Equity Value via the TerminalValue calculation).
Well, the short answer is after that forecast period where we estimate each year’s cash flows then discount them, we add a single number at the end to account for all the theoretical years in the future, called the TerminalValue (TV). Let’s pause here to acknowledge the big assumption that ‘interest rates will be 10% every year’.
The first of the is as companies scale up, there will be a point where they will hit a growth wall, and their growth will converge on the growth rate for the economy. In short, I am assuming that the price cuts and cost pressures of the fourth quarter are more representative of what Tesla will face in the future, as competition steps up.
10] , [23] , [2] Discount Rate: The rate used to discount future cash flows is typically the cost of equity, calculated via the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): Cost of Equity = Risk-FreeRate + Beta * Market RiskPremium. [23] to 2.5% [23] , [2] ) to ensure mathematical validity. [2]
” [1] [2] [4] [15] [19] It estimates a future exit value (often based on projected earnings and industry multiples) and works backward, using the high ROI targets VCs require (due to portfolio risk), to determine what the company could be worth today to justify that future return. [15] 2] [15] [17].
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