EBITDA Risk Premium Technology 
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 10, 2025
Thus, as you peruse my historical data on implied equity risk premiums or PE ratios for the S&P 500 over time, you may be tempted to compute averages and use them in your investment strategies, or use my industry averages for debt ratios and pricing multiples as the target for every company in the peer group, but you should hold back.
Musings on Markets
APRIL 7, 2025
Breaking down just US equities, by sector, we can see the damage across sectors: The technology sector lost the most in value last week, both in dollar terms, shedding almost $1.8 In the language of risk, they are demanding higher prices for risk, translating into higher risk premiums.
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Equidam
APRIL 26, 2025
Critiquing Unsuitable Methods for High-Growth Startups Several traditional or overly simplistic methods fail to adequately capture the unique characteristics of technology startups. butcher, barber) where assets are tangible and customer acquisition straightforward, it breaks down for technology startups.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 6, 2023
By the same token, it is impossible to use a pricing metric (PE or EV to EBITDA), without a sense of the cross sectional distribution of that metric at the time. For example, I have seen it asserted that a stock that trades at less than book value is cheap or that a stock that trades at more than twenty times EBITDA is expensive.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 31, 2024
In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 26, 2023
Tesla's rise is summarized in the graph below, where we look at the company's revenues and earnings over time, with earnings measured in gross and operating terms, and EBITDA capturing operating cash flows: 2022 numbers updated to reflect 4th quarter earnings call on 1/25/23 Between 2010 and 2020, Tesla grew revenues from $117 million to $31.5
Musings on Markets
FEBRUARY 15, 2023
One is to compute the taxes you would have paid on operating income, if it had been fully taxable, to get after-tax operating income and margin , and the other is to add back depreciation to operating income to get EBITDA and EBITDA margin.
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