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Data Update 4 for 2024: Danger and Opportunity - Bringing Risk into the Equation!

Musings on Markets

Third, by making investing a choice between good (higher returns) and bad (higher risk), a message is sent, perhaps unwittingly, that risk is something to be avoided or hedged. Don't overthink the discount rate : One of my contentions of discount rates is that they cannot become receptacles for all your hopes and fears.

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A Zomato 2022 Update: Value, Pricing and the Gap

Musings on Markets

In addition, the growth has come in fits and starts, and given Zomato's active acquisition strategy, it is not clear how much of the revenue growth is organic and how much is acquired. And no, you cannot add back stock based compensation and come up with an adjusted EBITDA to claim otherwise.)

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Data Update 5 for 2023: The Earnings Test

Musings on Markets

To set the stage, I will start by laying out the differences measure of earnings that reported on an income statement: At the top of the profit ladder is gross income , the earnings left over after a company has covered the direct cost of producing whatever it sells.

Equity 52
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The Dividend Discount Model (DDM): The Black Sheep of Valuation?

Brian DeChesare

When I started offering financial modeling training , I never expected to get questions about a methodology like the Dividend Discount Model (DDM). It can be useful for certain companies, such as power and utility firms and midstream (pipeline) operators in oil & gas … …but it’s also much harder to set up and use than a standard DCF.

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Data Update 5 for 2024: Profitability - The End Game for Business?

Musings on Markets

In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.

Equity 79
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Fixed Income Research: The Overlooked Younger Brother of Equity Research?

Brian DeChesare

The differences vs. equity research lie in the details: Financial models focus on the downside scenarios and analyze each issuance separately: the Yield to Worst , Yield to Maturity , Recovery percentages, and the default risk. The output is more about the credit stats and ratios (Debt / EBITDA, EBITDA / Interest, etc.),

Equity 59
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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

First, these categorizations were created close to twenty years ago, when I first started looking a global data, and many countries that were emerging markets then have developed into more mature markets now. EBIT & EBITDA multiple s 5. Long term Reinvestment (Cap Ex & Acquisitons) 4.