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Data Update 6 for 2025: From Macro to Micro - The Hurdle Rate Question!

Musings on Markets

The Hurdle Rate - Estimation in 2025 With that long lead in, I will lay out the estimation choices I used to estimate the costs of equity, debt and capital for the close to 48,000 firms in my sample. In the context of checking to see whether a valuation passes the 3P test (Is it possible? Is it plausible? Is it probable?),

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The Future of Business: Dynamic Risk and Hyper-Efficiency with AI

Gergory Caruso

Let’s break down how AI can help you with both risk navigation and efficiency. Using AI to Understand Your Company and Market Risks AI offers a powerful solution by enabling dynamic risk assessment. The key is to view AI not as a replacement, but as an intelligent assistant that amplifies your capabilities.

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Expanding in Africa: How Egypt’s CIB is Pursuing Cross-Border Growth

Global Finance

Global Finance (GF): What are CIBs growth plans for 2025 and beyond across Africa? Using Kenya as a regional hub, we will extend our reach into other key African markets that have strong trade ties with Egypt. How will you achieve these? The tailored financial solutions we offer in Kenya are a good example.

Banking 52
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Startup Survival Rates: The Risk Factor in Valuation You Should Think More About

Equidam

If a production company has a 15% probability of creating a hit film worth $100 million, the expected value would be $15 million, which can then be discounted for time and market risk. While the long-term trend toward decarbonization creates enormous market opportunities, individual companies face significant timing risk.

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Cleary Gottlieb Discusses Proposed Capital-Requirement Increases for Banks

Reynolds Holding

The banking agencies do not anticipate making a final rule effective until at least July 2025, and the proposal suggests a three-year phase-in period after that for most provisions. Risks would be required to be modeled (and internal models approved and backtested) at the level of individual trading desks rather than at the firm level.

Banking 40
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Morrison & Foerster Discusses Proposed Revisions to Capital Framework for Large Banking Organizations

Reynolds Holding

There would be no change in the capital framework for smaller firms, except that those firms with significant trading activities would be subject to the market-risk capital provisions. This new approach would include standardized risk-weights for credit, equity, operational, and credit valuation adjustment risk.

Banking 40
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Down Round Valuation: How to Survive and Protect Your Equity (2025)

Equidam

Updated Market Conditions Inputs – Risk-free rates: Now 4-5% vs. near-zero during ZIRP – Market risk premiums: Adjusted for current volatility and country-specific factors – Survival rates: Updated data reflecting current market conditions 2. Here’s how Equidam approaches this: 1.

Equity 59