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Sovereign Ratings, Default Risk and Markets: The Moody's Downgrade Aftermath!

Musings on Markets

That left Moody's, the third of the major sovereign ratings agencies, as the only one that persisted with a Aaa (Moody's equivalent of AAA) for the US, but that changed on May 16, 2025, when it too downgraded the US from Aaa (negative) to Aa1 (stable).

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Market Bipolarity: Exuberance versus Exhaustion!

Musings on Markets

Some of these differences across sectors reflect reversals from the damage done in 2022, but some of it is reflective of the disparate impact of inflation and higher rates across companies Finally. trillion increase in value US equities, the seven companies that we listed earlier accounted for $3.7

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Valutico Unveils 6 Powerful New Features

Valutico

Valutico | June 3 2025 Were thrilled to begin rolling out a suite of powerful new features designed to take your valuation process to the next level. Weve enhanced the standalone Cost of Capital step with updated chartsnow including visuals for the Cost of Equity premium, Spread over Risk-Free Rate, and Debt/Equity ratio, among others.

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Data Update 3 for 2024: Interest Rates in 2023 - A Rule-breaking Year!

Musings on Markets

In my last post, I looked at equities in 2023, and argued that while they did well during 2023, the bounce back were uneven, with a few big winning companies and sectors, and a significant number of companies not partaking in the recovery.

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Data Update 2 for 2025: The Party Continued (for US Equities)

Musings on Markets

In my last post , I noted that the US has extended its dominance of global equities in recent years, increasing its share of market capitalization from 42% in at the start of 2023 to 44% at the start of 2024 to 49% at the start of 2025.

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Data Update 4 for 2025: Interest Rates, Inflation and Central Banks!

Musings on Markets

In 2022, the rise in rates was almost entirely driven by rising inflation expectations , with the Fed racing to keep up with that market sentiment. If you look back at my S&P 500 valuation in my second data post for this year, you will see that I left the treasury bond rate at 4.58% (its level at the start of 2025) unchanged through time.

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Data Update 5 for 2025: It's a small world, after all!

Musings on Markets

The results, broken down broadly by geography are in the table below: As you can see, the aggregate market cap globally was up 12.17%, but much of that was the result of a strong US equity market. I am no expert on exchange rates, but learning to deal with different currencies in valuation is a prerequisite to valuing companies.