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Data Update 8 for 2025: Debt, Taxes and Default - An Unholy Trifecta!

Musings on Markets

It was only in 2019 that the accounting rule-writers (IFRS and GAAP) finally did the right thing, albeit with a myriad of rules and exceptions. The default spread is a price of risk in the bond market, and if you recall, I estimated the price of risk in equity markets, with an implied equity risk premium, in my second data update.

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Data Update 2 for 2023: A Rocky Year for Equities!

Musings on Markets

trillion on their market capitalization at the end of 2019. Historical Equity Risk Premium The conventional wisdom, at least as taught in business schools and practiced by appraisers, is that the only practice way to estimate equity risk premiums for the future is to use equity risk premiums earned in the past.

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In Search of a Steady State: Inflation, Interest Rates and Value

Musings on Markets

Equity Risk Premium Path : The equity risk premium of 5.24%, estimated at the start of May 2022, is at the high end of historical equity risk premiums , but we have seen higher premiums, either in crises (end of 2008, first quarter of 2020) or when inflation has been high (the late 1970s).

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Use of Discounted Cash Flow Approaches in US GAAP Accounting

ThomsonReuters

For instance, assume a bank is performing a discounted cash flow analysis for a mortgage. If a bank expects a borrower to make mortgage payments before the contractual due dates, the prepayments would lead to a lower end value in the discounted cash flow calculation than if the payments were made per the contract terms.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

For instance, I have always computed the present value of lease commitments in future years and treated that value as debt, a practice that IFRS and GAAP have adopted in 2019, but that computation requires explicit disclosures of lease commitments in future years.

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Review the concept of WACC

Andrew Stolz

This is a Valuation Master Class student essay by Teeradon Piyakiattisuk from March 19, 2019. A firm borrows from banks or bondholders and it has to pay the interest. The formula implies the return an investor expects from a risk-free investment plus the return from the stock in relation to market volatility.

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Inflation and Investing: False Alarm or Fair Warning?

Musings on Markets

In a sign of how volatile inflation expectations have been over the last year, I looked at the probabilities that the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Consequently, as inflation increases, equity risk premiums will tend to increase. Louis estimates for inflation rates exceeding 2.5%