Remove EBITDA Remove Market Capitalization Remove Risk Premium
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Data Update 1 for 2025: The Draw (and Danger) of Data

Musings on Markets

Thus, as you peruse my historical data on implied equity risk premiums or PE ratios for the S&P 500 over time, you may be tempted to compute averages and use them in your investment strategies, or use my industry averages for debt ratios and pricing multiples as the target for every company in the peer group, but you should hold back.

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Anatomy of a Market Crisis: Tariffs, Markets and the Economy!

Musings on Markets

In percentage terms, energy stocks have lost the most in value, with market capitalizations dropping by 14.2%, dragged down by declining oil prices. In the language of risk, they are demanding higher prices for risk, translating into higher risk premiums.

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

Since I am lucky enough to have access to databases that carry data on all publicly traded stocks, I choose all publicly traded companies, with a market price that exceeds zero, as my universe, for computing all statistics. Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Return on (invested) capital 2. Debt Details 1.

Dividends 106
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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

Thus, without a sense of what comprises a high or low profit margin for a firm, or what the cost of capital is for the typical company, it is easy to create "fairy tale" valuations and analyses. Data universe : In my sample, I include all publicly traded firms with market capitalizations that exceed zero, traded anywhere in the world.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

The overriding message in all of this data is that Russia/Ukraine war has unleashed fears in the bond market, and once unleashed that fear has pushed up worries about default and default risk premia across the board.

Start-ups 100
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Data Update 6 for 2023: A Wake up call for the Indebted?

Musings on Markets

In this section, I will lay out a mechanism for evaluating the effects of borrowing on the cost of funding a business, i.e., the cost of capital, and talk about why firms may under or overshoot this optimal. Debt to EBITDA, Interest Coverage Ratios If debt to capital is not a good measure for judging over or under leverage, what is?

Equity 52
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Buy the Dip: The Draw and Dangers of Contrarian Investing!

Musings on Markets

With individual stocks, that danger gets multiplied, with investors buying stocks that are being sold off to for legitimate reasons (a broken business model, dysfunctional management, financial distress) and waiting for a market correction that never comes. Contrarian Investing: The Psychological Tests!

Start-ups 136