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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

Investors all talk about risk, but there seems to be little consensus on what it is, how it should be measured, and how it plays out in the short and long term. In closing, I will talk about some of the more dangerous delusions that undercut good risk taking. What is risk?

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Country Risk: A 2022 Mid-year Update!

Musings on Markets

It has been my practice for the last two decades to take a detailed look at how risk varies across countries, once at the start of the year and once mid-year. Country Risk: Default Risk and Ratings For investors, the most direct measures of country risk come from measures of their capacity to default on their borrowings.

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Convertible Arbitrage Hedge Funds: The Perfect Combination of Investment Banking and Sales & Trading?

Brian DeChesare

But before delving into the best candidates for these roles, typical trades, careers, and more, let’s start with the basic definitions: What is a Convertible Arbitrage Hedge Fund? If the stock price goes up or down by 10%, but the volatility stays the same, you might not earn or lose anything on the trade.

Banking 89
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9 Startup Valuation Methods: 5 to Use, 4 to Avoid

Equidam

Instead of comparing to an average, it typically starts with a maximum potential pre-money valuation deemed achievable for a startup of that type in its region. Unlike the Scorecard, it doesn’t explicitly benchmark against competitors but focuses on the startup’s internal milestones and risk mitigation.

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Data Update 4 for 2021: The Hurdle Rate Question!

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will start by looking at the role that hurdle rates play in running a business, with the consequences of setting them too high or too low, and then look at the fundamentals that should cause hurdle rates to vary across companies. More on that issue in a future data update post.)

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

First, these categorizations were created close to twenty years ago, when I first started looking a global data, and many countries that were emerging markets then have developed into more mature markets now. Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Return on Equity 1. Debt Ratios & Fundamentals 1. Debt Details 1.

Dividends 106
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The Dividend Discount Model (DDM): The Black Sheep of Valuation?

Brian DeChesare

When I started offering financial modeling training , I never expected to get questions about a methodology like the Dividend Discount Model (DDM). It can be useful for certain companies, such as power and utility firms and midstream (pipeline) operators in oil & gas … …but it’s also much harder to set up and use than a standard DCF.