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Data Update 1 for 2025: The Draw (and Danger) of Data

Musings on Markets

Thus, as you peruse my historical data on implied equity risk premiums or PE ratios for the S&P 500 over time, you may be tempted to compute averages and use them in your investment strategies, or use my industry averages for debt ratios and pricing multiples as the target for every company in the peer group, but you should hold back.

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Data Update 6 for 2025: From Macro to Micro - The Hurdle Rate Question!

Musings on Markets

The Hurdle Rate - Intuition and Uses You don't need to complete a corporate finance or valuation class to encounter hurdle rates in practice, usually taking the form of costs of equity and capital, but taking a finance class both deepens the acquaintance and ruins it. Corporate Default Risk , i.e,

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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

In my last post , I discussed how inflation's return has changed the calculus for investors, looking at how inflation affects returns on different asset classes, and tracing out the consequences for equity values, in the aggregate.

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

Since I am lucky enough to have access to databases that carry data on all publicly traded stocks, I choose all publicly traded companies, with a market price that exceeds zero, as my universe, for computing all statistics. Beta & Risk 1. Return on Equity 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Return on (invested) capital 2.

Dividends 106
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SWS Group: The Breakdown

Appraisal Rights

In selecting the appropriate equity risk premium, the court observed that whether to use supply-side or historical ERP should be determined on a case-by-case basis. With regard to beta, the court found fault with both side’s approach.

Beta 40
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Tesla in November 2023 : Story twists and turns, with value consequences!

Musings on Markets

To deliver this growth, I did assume that Tesla would have to invest large amounts of capital in capacity, and that this would create a significant drag on value, resulting in a equity value of just under $10 billion.

Start-ups 126
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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

Data universe : In my sample, I include all publicly traded firms with market capitalizations that exceed zero, traded anywhere in the world. I do report on a few market-wide data items especially on risk premiums for both equity and debt. Cost of Equity 1. Cost of Capital 3. Return on Equity 1.