Musings on Markets

JANUARY 10, 2025

For company data, my primary source is S&P Capital IQ, augmented with data from a Bloomberg terminal. My dataset includes all publicly traded companies listed at the start of the year, with a market price available, and there were 47810 firms in my sample , roughly in line with the sample sizes in the last few years. Buybacks 2.

Risk Premium 119

Risk Premium Dividends Start-ups Corporate Finance 119

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 8, 2025

While much of the discussion of this measure gets mired in the capital asset pricing model, and the supposed adequacies and inadequacies of beta, I think that too much is made of it, and that the model is adaptable enough to allow for other measures of relative risk. Corporate Default Risk , i.e,

Risk Premium 74

Risk Premium Beta Start-ups Equity 74

Appraisal Rights

JUNE 5, 2017

Further to our prior post about Delaware’s two new appraisal decisions, SWS Group was a small, struggling bank holding company that merged on January 1, 2015 into one of its own substantial creditors, Hilltop Holdings. With regard to beta, the court found fault with both side’s approach. at closing. below the merger price.

Beta 40

Beta Risk Premium Capital Structure Discounted Cash Flow 40

Musings on Markets

NOVEMBER 1, 2023

It was after one of these downturns in 2019, when the stock hit $180 (with a market cap of $32 billion), that I bought Tesla for the first time , albeit labeling it as my corporate teenager, an investment that would frustrate me because it would get in the way of its own potential.

Start-ups 126

Start-ups Marketability Market Capitalization Beta 126

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 16, 2024

Intrinsic Value Effect : The calculations for cashflows are identical to those done when the risks are company-specific, with cash flows estimated with and without the catastrophic risk, but since these risks are sector-wide or market-wide, there will also be an effect on discount rates. at the end of 2007 to 0.85 two years later.

Risk Premium 78

Risk Premium Start-ups Beta Marketability 78

Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 27, 2023

Note that this framework applies for all businesses, from the smallest, privately owned businesses, where debt takes the form of bank loans and even credit card borrowing and equity is owner savings, the largest publicly traded companies, where debt can be in the form of corporate bonds and equity is shares held by public market investors.

Equity 52

Equity EBITDA Start-ups Net Debt 52

Equidam

APRIL 22, 2025

10] Initial Public Offerings (IPOs): While the ultimate pricing of an IPO is determined by public market demand and conditions, pre-IPO valuations set by late-stage private rounds guide expectations and internal planning. [11] Its components, derived from the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), move with broader economic trends. [23]

Discounted Cash Flow 64

Discounted Cash Flow Terminal Value Marketability EBITDA 64