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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

I then examine how equities have performed in the less than five months of 2022, where inflation has returned to the front pages. In 2022, the collective market capitalization of all US firms has dropped by 19.75% , with the bulk of the drop occurring after April 1, 2022.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

Note, though, that while sovereign CDS spreads increased almost 51% between January 1, 2022 and March 16, 2022, in these countries, the overall riskiness of the region remains low, the average spread at 1.30%. lower than the traded value of 4766.

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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

By the same token, it is impossible to use a pricing metric (PE or EV to EBITDA), without a sense of the cross sectional distribution of that metric at the time. For example, I have seen it asserted that a stock that trades at less than book value is cheap or that a stock that trades at more than twenty times EBITDA is expensive.

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Control, Complexity and Politics: Deconstructing the Adani Affair!

Musings on Markets

The company's return on invested capital has steadily declined, even as it has scaled up, hovering just over 3% in 2021-2022. You see similar movements in the price to book, where the stock has gone from trading under book value to 6.7 times revenues in the most recent two years.

Start-ups 100