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revenue multiple, ARR multiple, EBITDA multiple) derived from recent acquisitions or funding rounds of supposedly similar companies. While appealing due to its market-based simplicity, using this as the primary valuation driver for startups is fraught with peril. Beta measures the volatility of the company relative to the market.
Practitioners assume the business is sold as a multiple of some financial metric like EBITDA, based on what they can see today for other businesses that were sold, and what these comparable trading multiples are. . Rf = Risk-free Rate. Rm – Rf) = Equity MarketRiskPremium. Cp = Cost of Equity Premium.
In short, if you don't like betas and have disdain for modern portfolio theory, your choice should not be to abandon risk measurement all together, but to come up with an alternative risk measure that is more in sync with your view of the world.
This calibration directly impacts expected returns, required ROI, survival rates, and appropriate liquidity discounts, significantly refining risk assessment. Country: Argentina Operating from Argentina influences extrinsic risk factors due to regional economic conditions, market size, regulatory environment, and currency stability.
4] , [3] , [5] Unlike mature, publicly listed companies which are easier to compare using multiples of current earnings (like EBITDA) [3] , startups must be valued based on their projected future; moats, margins and the perceived strength of their future growth trajectory. [3] 23] Risk-Free Rate: Tied to government bond yields (e.g.,
2] Startups typically lack significant historical financial data, often operate with negative profits initially, rely heavily on private equity or venture capital rather than traditional bank loans, and face a much higher risk of failure. [1] This premium rises when perceived marketrisk increases. [27] 2] [15] [17].
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