Business Valuation Market Risk Risk Premium 
Musings on Markets
FEBRUARY 8, 2025
In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to risk premiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. The second set of inputs are prices of risk, in both the equity and debt markets, with the former measured by equity risk premiums , and the latter by default spreads.
Andrew Stolz
AUGUST 5, 2020
If an investor moves money from the risk-free asset into the stock market, they should expect to earn a return in excess of the risk-free rate, what is called an equity risk premium. Investments are exposed to two types of risk: systematic and unsystematic. What Impacts the Capital Asset Pricing Model?
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Equilest
JANUARY 3, 2023
The theory suggests that the expected return on an asset can be modeled as a linear function of various macroeconomic factors or "factor loadings" that affect the asset's risk, such as market risk, industry risk, and country risk. First, we need to estimate the factor loadings for each risk factor.
Equidam
APRIL 22, 2025
Public market valuations, for instance, often influence private market expectations, especially since public markets represent a key exit route for VC investments. [49] Discount Rates / Risk Premiums: The discount rate used in DCF analysis (often the WACC) incorporates elements sensitive to market conditions. [21]
Equidam
APRIL 22, 2025
10] , [23] , [2] Discount Rate: The rate used to discount future cash flows is typically the cost of equity, calculated via the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Market Risk Premium. [23] 23] Risk-Free Rate: Tied to government bond yields (e.g.,
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