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Data Update 4 for 2024: Danger and Opportunity - Bringing Risk into the Equation!

Musings on Markets

In my last data updates for this year, I looked first at how equity markets rebounded in 2023 , driven by a stronger-than-expected economy and inflation coming down, and then at how interest rates mirrored this rebound. Globally, health care has the highest percentage of money-losing companies and utilities have the lowest.

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Startup Valuation: The Ultimate Guide for Founders

Equidam

Public market valuations, for instance, often influence private market expectations, especially since public markets represent a key exit route for VC investments. [49] Discount Rates / Risk Premiums: The discount rate used in DCF analysis (often the WACC) incorporates elements sensitive to market conditions. [21]

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Startup Valuation: The Ultimate Guide

Equidam

10] , [23] , [2] Discount Rate: The rate used to discount future cash flows is typically the cost of equity, calculated via the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Market Risk Premium. [23] 23] Risk-Free Rate: Tied to government bond yields (e.g.,