Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 10, 2021

From a hurdle rate perspective, this implies that companies, where the marginal investors (who own a lot of stock and trade that stock) are diversified, should incorporate only macroeconomic or market risk into hurdle rates. US , Europe , Emerging Markets , Japan , Australia/NZ & Canada , Global ) 2. as mature markets.

Risk-free Rate 52

Risk-free Rate Risk Premium Start-ups Equity 52

Equidam

JUNE 30, 2025

Indeed, companies valued primarily on revenue multiples during 2020-2021 are now the most vulnerable to down rounds. Because revenue multiples are procyclical—they amplify market highs during bull markets and market lows during downturns, creating exactly the boom-bust cycles we’re seeing today.

Equity 59

Equity Marketability Risk-free Rate Start-ups 59

Equidam

APRIL 22, 2025

Public market valuations, for instance, often influence private market expectations, especially since public markets represent a key exit route for VC investments. [49] Discount Rates / Risk Premiums: The discount rate used in DCF analysis (often the WACC) incorporates elements sensitive to market conditions. [21]

Discounted Cash Flow 52

Discounted Cash Flow Marketability Risk Premium Start-ups 52

Equidam

APRIL 22, 2025

10] , [23] , [2] Discount Rate: The rate used to discount future cash flows is typically the cost of equity, calculated via the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Market Risk Premium. [23] 23] Risk-Free Rate: Tied to government bond yields (e.g.,

Discounted Cash Flow 64

Discounted Cash Flow Terminal Value Marketability EBITDA 64