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Down Round Valuation: How to Survive and Protect Your Equity (2025)

Equidam

Indeed, companies valued primarily on revenue multiples during 2020-2021 are now the most vulnerable to down rounds. Because revenue multiples are procyclical—they amplify market highs during bull markets and market lows during downturns, creating exactly the boom-bust cycles we’re seeing today.

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Startup Valuation: The Ultimate Guide for Founders

Equidam

Public market valuations, for instance, often influence private market expectations, especially since public markets represent a key exit route for VC investments. [49] Discount Rates / Risk Premiums: The discount rate used in DCF analysis (often the WACC) incorporates elements sensitive to market conditions. [21]

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Startup Valuation: The Ultimate Guide

Equidam

10] , [23] , [2] Discount Rate: The rate used to discount future cash flows is typically the cost of equity, calculated via the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM): Cost of Equity = Risk-Free Rate + Beta * Market Risk Premium. [23] 23] Risk-Free Rate: Tied to government bond yields (e.g.,