Remove 2021 Remove Book Value Remove EBITDA Remove Risk Premium
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Data Update 5 for 2023: The Earnings Test

Musings on Markets

The first is to see how the increase in inflation in 2021 and 2021 has played out in profitability for companies, since inflation can increase profits for some firms, and lower them for others. the returns you can make on investments of equivalent risk, and that game became a lot more difficult to win in 2022.

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Standard Deviation in Equity/Firm Value 2. Book Value Multiples 3. EBIT & EBITDA multiple s 5. Return on Equity 1. Debt Ratios & Fundamentals 1. Debt Details 1. Dividends and Potential Dividends (FCFE) 1. Buybacks 2. Return on (invested) capital 2.

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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

By the same token, it is impossible to use a pricing metric (PE or EV to EBITDA), without a sense of the cross sectional distribution of that metric at the time. For example, I have seen it asserted that a stock that trades at less than book value is cheap or that a stock that trades at more than twenty times EBITDA is expensive.

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Data Update 5 for 2024: Profitability - The End Game for Business?

Musings on Markets

In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.

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