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Data Update 8 for 2025: Debt, Taxes and Default - An Unholy Trifecta!

Musings on Markets

It was only in 2019 that the accounting rule-writers (IFRS and GAAP) finally did the right thing, albeit with a myriad of rules and exceptions. In the table below, I look at debt to EBITDA and interest coverage ratios, by region and sector: The results in this table largely reaffirm our findings with the debt to capital ratio.

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Data Update 1 for 2024: The data speaks, but what does it say?

Musings on Markets

Thus, I have treated leases as debt in computing debt ratios all through the decades that I have been computing this statistic, even though accounting rules did not do so until 2019, and capitalized R&D, even though accounting has not made that judgment yet. Beta & Risk 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2. Debt Details 1.

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Tesla in 2023: A Return to Reality, The Start of the End or Time to Buy?

Musings on Markets

Tesla's rise is summarized in the graph below, where we look at the company's revenues and earnings over time, with earnings measured in gross and operating terms, and EBITDA capturing operating cash flows: 2022 numbers updated to reflect 4th quarter earnings call on 1/25/23 Between 2010 and 2020, Tesla grew revenues from $117 million to $31.5

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Country Risk: My 2024 Data Update

Musings on Markets

After the 2008 market crisis, I resolved that I would be far more organized in my assessments and updating of equity risk premiums, in the United States and abroad, as I looked at the damage that can be inflicted on intrinsic value by significant shifts in risk premiums, i.e., my definition of a crisis.