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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

In this post, I will begin by looking at how to value banks and follow up with an examination of investor views of banking have changed, by looking at pricing, before examining divergences in how banks are priced in the market today. All Equity, All the time!

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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

In my last post , I discussed how inflation's return has changed the calculus for investors, looking at how inflation affects returns on different asset classes, and tracing out the consequences for equity values, in the aggregate. The former is short hand for the small cap premium and the latter is the proxy for the value factor in returns.

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

In my second data update post from the start of this year , I looked at US equities in 2022, with the S&P 500 down almost 20% during the year and the NASDAQ, overweighted in technology, feeling even more pain, down about a third, during the year. That pessimism was not restricted to market outlooks.

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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

I do report on a few market-wide data items especially on risk premiums for both equity and debt. At the company-level, I provide data on risk, profitability, leverage and dividends, broken down by industry-groups, to be used in both corporate finance and valuation. Cost of Equity 1. Standard deviation in stock price 2.

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Control, Complexity and Politics: Deconstructing the Adani Affair!

Musings on Markets

The company's return on invested capital has steadily declined, even as it has scaled up, hovering just over 3% in 2021-2022. The Lead In As noted in the introductory paragraph, I start from a position of ignorance about the Adani Group, and it thus made sense to fill in that gap.

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