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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

Consequently, you can only value the equity in a bank, and by extension, the only pricing multiples you can use to price banks are equity multiples (PE, Price to Book etc.). Note the differences between the bank FCFE and bank dividend discount models.

Banking 63
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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

I then examine how equities have performed in the less than five months of 2022, where inflation has returned to the front pages. In 2022, the collective market capitalization of all US firms has dropped by 19.75% , with the bulk of the drop occurring after April 1, 2022.

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

In my second data update post from the start of this year , I looked at US equities in 2022, with the S&P 500 down almost 20% during the year and the NASDAQ, overweighted in technology, feeling even more pain, down about a third, during the year. That pessimism was not restricted to market outlooks.

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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

At the company-level, I provide data on risk, profitability, leverage and dividends, broken down by industry-groups, to be used in both corporate finance and valuation. Standard deviation in stock price 2. Price to Book 3. High-Low Price Risk Measure 5. EV/Sales and Price/Sales 5. Cost of Equity 1.

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Control, Complexity and Politics: Deconstructing the Adani Affair!

Musings on Markets

The company's return on invested capital has steadily declined, even as it has scaled up, hovering just over 3% in 2021-2022. You see similar movements in the price to book, where the stock has gone from trading under book value to 6.7 times revenues in the most recent two years.

Start-ups 100