Musings on Markets

JANUARY 28, 2024

In my last data updates for this year, I looked first at how equity markets rebounded in 2023 , driven by a stronger-than-expected economy and inflation coming down, and then at how interest rates mirrored this rebound.

Risk Premium 93

Risk Premium Beta Start-ups Equity 93

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 24, 2024

As we start 2024, the interest rate prognosticators who misread the bond markets so badly in 2023 are back to making their 2024 forecasts, and they show no evidence of having learned any lessons from the last year. In fact, treasury bill rates consistently rise ahead of the Fed's actions over the two years.

Treasury 52

Treasury Risk Premium Start-ups Risk-free Rate 52

Musings on Markets

OCTOBER 4, 2023

That recovery notwithstanding, uncertainties about inflation and the economy remained unresolved, and those uncertainties became part of the market story in the third quarter of 2023. The Markets in the Third Quarter Coming off a year of rising rates in 2022, interest rates have continued to command center stage in 2023.

Marketability 104

Marketability Start-ups Risk Premium Treasury 104

Valutico

DECEMBER 12, 2023

See below for the latest set of upgrades and watch this space in early 2024 for more to come soon. New Professional Report Style: What? New Emerging Market Data (From EMIS): What? Stay tuned for more exciting and significant updates coming in early 2024. Available in Transactions Search. Why Important? Why Important?

Risk-free Rate 52

Risk-free Rate Risk Premium Market Risk Marketability 52

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 17, 2024

That positive result notwithstanding, the recovery was uneven, with a big chunk of the increase in market capitalization coming from seven companies (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Alphabet, NVidia and Tesla) and wide divergences in performance across stocks, in performance. increase in market capitalization.

Risk Premium 77

Risk Premium Start-ups Equity Treasury 77

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 5, 2024

Thus, looking at only the companies in the S&P 500 may give you more reliable data, with fewer missing observations, but your results will reflect what large market cap companies in any sector or industry do, rather than what is typical for that industry.

Dividends 98

Dividends Risk Premium Equity Book Value 98

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 31, 2024

In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdle rates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.

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Equity Book Value Start-ups Corporate Finance 79