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A Follow up on Inflation: The Disparate Effects on Company Values!

Musings on Markets

I then examine how equities have performed in the less than five months of 2022, where inflation has returned to the front pages. In 2022, the collective market capitalization of all US firms has dropped by 19.75% , with the bulk of the drop occurring after April 1, 2022.

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Good (Bad) Banks and Good (Bad) Investments: At the right price.

Musings on Markets

Consequently, you can only value the equity in a bank, and by extension, the only pricing multiples you can use to price banks are equity multiples (PE, Price to Book etc.).

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Data Update 2 for 2022: US Stocks kept winning in 2021, but…

Musings on Markets

In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

Note, though, that while sovereign CDS spreads increased almost 51% between January 1, 2022 and March 16, 2022, in these countries, the overall riskiness of the region remains low, the average spread at 1.30%. lower than the traded value of 4766.

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Data Update 3: Inflation and its Ripple Effects!

Musings on Markets

By the end of 2021, it was clear that this bout of inflation was not as transient a phenomenon as some had made it out to be, and the big question leading in 2022, for investors and markets, is how inflation will play out during the year, and beyond, and the consequences for stocks, bonds and currencies.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

In my second data update post from the start of this year , I looked at US equities in 2022, with the S&P 500 down almost 20% during the year and the NASDAQ, overweighted in technology, feeling even more pain, down about a third, during the year. That pessimism was not restricted to market outlooks.

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Data Update 1 for 2023: Setting the table!

Musings on Markets

Data universe : In my sample, I include all publicly traded firms with market capitalizations that exceed zero, traded anywhere in the world. Standard deviation in stock price 2. Price to Book 3. Cost of Capital 3. High-Low Price Risk Measure 5. EV/Sales and Price/Sales 5. Cost of Equity 1.