Musings on Markets
JANUARY 19, 2022
In a post at the start of 2021 , I argued that while stocks entered the year at elevated levels, especially on historic metrics (such as PE ratios), they were priced to deliver reasonable returns, relative to very low risk free rates (with the treasury bond rate at 0.93% at the start of 2021). The year that was.
Andrew Stolz
JANUARY 28, 2022
Attractive dividend yield could rise to 2x Japanese average. Idemitsu Kosan’s revenue breakdown 2020. Attractive dividend yield could rise to 2x Japanese average. In the past share, the company has increased its dividend per share and is likely to maintain that level. Ramp-up of CAPEX necessary to ensure longevity.
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Musings on Markets
NOVEMBER 9, 2021
My two most recent valuations were in June 2019 and January 2020, and I am going to go back to them, not just because they are recent, but because they led to investment decisions on my part. Between June 2019 and January 2020, the stock went on a tear, as the stock price more than tripled, and I revisited my Tesla valuation.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 8, 2022
Those measures took a beating in 2020, as COVID decimated the earnings of companies in many sectors and regions of the world, and while 2021 was a return to some degree of normalcy, there is still damage that has to be worked through.
Musings on Markets
MAY 6, 2022
Inflation: The Full Story I wrote my first post on this blog in 2008, and inflation merited barely a mention until 2020, though it is an integral component of investing and valuation. In fact, the average inflation rate in the 2011-20 decade was the lowest of the seven decades that I cover in this chart.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 20, 2021
If, on the other hand, investors are risk neutral, the price of risk will be zero, and investors will buy risky business, stocks and other investments, and settle for the risk free rate as the expected return. One is to look at their movement over time, and compare current spreads to historic norms.
Musings on Markets
JANUARY 5, 2024
I have also developed a practice in the last decade of spending much of January exploring what the data tells us, and does not tell us, about the investing, financing and dividend choices that companies made during the most recent year. Beta & Risk 1. Dividends and Potential Dividends (FCFE) 1. Equity Risk Premiums 2.
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